Lakehurst leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Lakehurst typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lakehurst, ~24% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lakehurst compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lakehurst leans more Republican than 54 of 129 neighbors.
Lakehurst runs about 24 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Lakehurst is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lakehurst. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Lakehurst leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lakehurst, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lakehurst votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 56%, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Lakehurst runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Lakehurst, NJ does.
Why turnout in Lakehurst looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lakehurst is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 44% of households in Lakehurst rent, compared to around 13% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Whiting, NJ R+21
- Ridgeway, NJ R+38
- Cedar Glen West, NJ R+26
- Pine Lake Park, NJ R+25
- Holiday City-Berkeley, NJ R+26
- Crestwood Village, NJ R+18
- Keswick Grove, NJ R+21
- Holmansville, NJ R+41
- Holiday City South, NJ R+11
- South Toms River, NJ R+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- North Shore, LA D+22
- Clearlake Oaks, CA Even
- North Hampton, NH D+7
- Peach Bottom, PA R+59
- New Haven, MO R+56
- Chester, WV R+51
- Camden, NC R+47
- Palmyra, VA R+26
- Valdez, AK R+33
- East Bernard, TX R+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.