Lawrenceville is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Lawrenceville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrenceville, ~17% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lawrenceville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lawrenceville leans more Republican than 53 of 98 neighbors.
Lawrenceville runs about 52 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lawrenceville. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+46), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Lawrenceville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lawrenceville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lawrenceville votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 24%, modestly below the Pennsylvania average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Lawrenceville fits that profile on both counts.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lawrenceville, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lawrenceville looks the way it does
Turnout in Lawrenceville sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Somers Lane, PA R+58
- Presho, NY R+45
- Lindley, NY R+45
- Tioga, PA R+57
- Tioga Junction, PA R+55
- Nelson, PA R+61
- Jackson Summit, PA R+58
- Caton, NY R+40
- West Caton, NY R+25
- Erwins, NY R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Berlin Center, OH R+48
- Pittsburg, IL R+62
- Warsaw, IL R+44
- Walnut Shade, MO R+55
- Bridgeport, NE R+55
- Leicester, NY R+29
- Doniphan, NE R+62
- Braddock, PA D+78
- Fairview, WV R+61
- Luthersville, GA R+39
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.