Lee County leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Lee County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lee County, ~28% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lee County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Lee County leans more Democratic than 7 of 13 neighbors.
Lee County runs about 41 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Lee County is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Lee County. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+63) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+63), a spread of about 126 points.
Why Lee County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lee County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 57% of residents in Lee County are Black or African American, about 46 points above the Arkansas average of 11%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in Lee County have never been married, above 98% of counties. Lee County runs against the grain of Arkansas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lee County, AR sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Lee County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lee County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 10 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 43% of households in Lee County rent, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 35% of adults in Lee County report food insecurity, above 98% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- St. Francis County, AR D+18
- Phillips County, AR D+20
- Tunica County, MS D+31
- Monroe County, AR R+33
- Cross County, AR R+41
- Coahoma County, MS D+51
- Woodruff County, AR R+40
- Crittenden County, AR D+22
- Prairie County, AR R+64
- Quitman County, MS D+44
Counties with Similar Populations
- Platte County, WY R+65
- Montgomery County, GA R+47
- Wilkinson County, MS D+38
- Dimmit County, TX R+4
- Madison County, MT R+46
- Wilson County, KS R+59
- Woods County, OK R+57
- Lucas County, IA R+44
- Oregon County, MO R+69
- Archer County, TX R+76
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.