Monroe County leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Monroe County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Monroe County, ~16% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Monroe County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Monroe County leans more Republican than 3 of 9 neighbors.
Politically, Monroe County sits close to the rest of Arkansas.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Monroe County. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+61), a spread of about 64 points.
Why Monroe County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Monroe County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 8% of residents in Monroe County live in densely developed areas, about 28 points below the U.S. average of 36%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Monroe County sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 93% of counties).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Monroe County, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Monroe County looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 38% of households in Monroe County rent, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Monroe County sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Monroe County report food insecurity, above 91% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Prairie County, AR R+64
- Lee County, AR D+10
- Arkansas County, AR R+33
- St. Francis County, AR D+18
- Woodruff County, AR R+40
- Phillips County, AR D+20
- Cross County, AR R+41
- Lonoke County, AR R+52
- White County, AR R+56
- Tunica County, MS D+31
Counties with Similar Populations
- Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, AK R+39
- Huerfano County, CO R+7
- Broadwater County, MT R+54
- Thurston County, NE D+23
- Charles City County, VA D+8
- Tucker County, WV R+50
- Weston County, WY R+68
- Pembina County, ND R+51
- Clinch County, GA R+51
- Refugio County, TX R+36
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.