Tunica County leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Tunica County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tunica County, ~37% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tunica County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Tunica County leans more Democratic than 9 of 12 neighbors.
Tunica County runs about 54 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Tunica County is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Tunica County. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+43) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+21), a spread of about 63 points.
Why Tunica County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tunica County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tunica County votes against the grain of Mississippi. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Tunica County runs about 54 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Tunica County have never been married, above 98% of counties.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Tunica County, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Tunica County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tunica County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 6%, about 54 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 59% of households in Tunica County rent, compared to around 38% in nearby counties. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 42% of adults in Tunica County report food insecurity, in the top fraction of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Tate County, MS R+35
- Phillips County, AR D+20
- Lee County, AR D+10
- DeSoto County, MS R+15
- Quitman County, MS D+44
- St. Francis County, AR D+18
- Crittenden County, AR D+22
- Panola County, MS Even
- Coahoma County, MS D+51
- Shelby County, TN D+40
Counties with Similar Populations
- McLean County, ND R+51
- Grundy County, MO R+57
- Mountrail County, ND R+35
- Martin County, IN R+59
- West Carroll Parish, LA R+70
- Sac County, IA R+51
- Clarke County, IA R+41
- Montgomery County, MS R+2
- Emery County, UT R+73
- Switzerland County, IN R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.