Crittenden County leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Crittenden County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Crittenden County, ~34% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Crittenden County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Crittenden County leans more Democratic than 10 of 12 neighbors.
Crittenden County runs about 52 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Crittenden County is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Crittenden County. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+72) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+27), a spread of about 99 points.
Why Crittenden County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Crittenden County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Crittenden County is about 39%, about 33 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 38% of adults in Crittenden County have never been married, above 91% of counties. Crittenden County runs against the grain of Arkansas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Crittenden County, AR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Crittenden County looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 42% of households in Crittenden County rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Crittenden County sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in Crittenden County report food insecurity, above 97% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Shelby County, TN D+40
- DeSoto County, MS R+15
- Cross County, AR R+41
- Tunica County, MS D+31
- Tipton County, TN R+47
- St. Francis County, AR D+18
- Poinsett County, AR R+56
- Tate County, MS R+35
- Lee County, AR D+10
- Fayette County, TN R+33
Counties with Similar Populations
- Le Flore County, OK R+63
- Shelby County, OH R+58
- Shelby County, KY R+32
- Boyd County, KY R+38
- Carter County, OK R+46
- Bingham County, ID R+54
- Whitman County, WA D+16
- Greene County, NY R+13
- Lincoln Parish, LA R+13
- Curry County, NM R+34
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.