St. Francis County, AR Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in St. Francis County

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

St. Francis County leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.

 

About 51% of adults in St. Francis County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in St. Francis County, ~30% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How St. Francis County compares

Among counties within 50 miles, St. Francis County leans more Democratic than 8 of 11 neighbors.

St. Francis County runs about 48 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while St. Francis County is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by city within St. Francis County. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+47) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+26), a spread of about 73 points.

Why St. Francis County leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for St. Francis County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

St. Francis County votes against the grain of Arkansas. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while St. Francis County runs about 48 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in St. Francis County have never been married, above 93% of counties.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; St. Francis County, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in St. Francis County looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. St. Francis County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 9 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 47% of households in St. Francis County rent, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in St. Francis County report food insecurity, above 98% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.