Lee County leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Lee County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lee County, ~29% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lee County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Lee County is the least Republican-leaning.
Lee County runs about 6 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Lee County. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Lee County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lee County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lee County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 81%, well above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lee County, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lee County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lee County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Collier County, FL R+20
- Charlotte County, FL R+33
- Hendry County, FL R+26
- DeSoto County, FL R+35
- Glades County, FL R+47
- Sarasota County, FL R+17
- Highlands County, FL R+33
- Hardee County, FL R+46
- Manatee County, FL R+15
- Okeechobee County, FL R+46
Counties with Similar Populations
- Monroe County, NY D+25
- DeKalb County, GA D+63
- San Mateo County, CA D+48
- Cobb County, GA D+20
- San Joaquin County, CA D+4
- Jefferson County, KY D+20
- El Paso County, CO R+7
- Norfolk County, MA D+30
- Oklahoma County, OK D+6
- Polk County, FL R+18
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.