Lincoln Heights is a Democratic stronghold. About 77% of voters here vote Democratic and 23% Republican.
About 40% of adults in Lincoln Heights typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lincoln Heights, ~31% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lincoln Heights compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Lincoln Heights leans more Democratic than 19 of 26 neighbors.
Lincoln Heights runs about 33 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Lincoln Heights. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+56) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+45), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Lincoln Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lincoln Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 55% of adults in Lincoln Heights have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 46%).
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Lincoln Heights, Los Angeles, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Lincoln Heights looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lincoln Heights is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 69% of households in Lincoln Heights rent, about 44 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in Lincoln Heights report food insecurity, above 82% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Montecito Heights, Los Angeles, CA D+42
- Chinatown, Los Angeles, CA D+36
- Mount Washington, Los Angeles, CA D+57
- Cypress Park, Los Angeles, CA D+51
- El Sereno, Los Angeles, CA D+43
- Central City East, Los Angeles, CA D+41
- Civic Center Little Tokyo, Los Angeles, CA D+48
- Boyle Heights, Los Angeles, CA D+43
- Echo Park, Los Angeles, CA D+60
- Wholesale District-Skid Row, Los Angeles, CA D+53
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Bala Cynwyd, Bala-Cynwyd, PA D+48
- Hyde Park, Austin, TX D+71
- The Bush, Chicago, IL D+68
- East Side Capistrano, Oceanside, CA D+15
- Boynton, Detroit, MI D+85
- Summit Hill, St. Paul, MN D+71
- Saint Johns, Austin, TX D+54
- Bryant, Buffalo, NY D+68
- Central Business District, Orlando, FL D+30
- Elmwood Area, Abilene, TX R+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.