Lincoln is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Lincoln typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lincoln, ~14% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lincoln compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lincoln leans more Republican than 7 of 12 neighbors.
Lincoln runs about 74 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Lincoln is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Lincoln leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lincoln, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lincoln votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Lincoln runs about 74 points more Republican. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Lincoln is about 96%, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Lincoln, WA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lincoln looks the way it does
Turnout in Lincoln sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Creston, WA R+56
- Miles, WA R+29
- Wilbur, WA R+55
- Davenport, WA R+45
- Fruitland, WA D+6
- Mondovi, WA R+60
- Little Falls, WA R+35
- Keller, WA D+13
- Wellpinit, WA D+43
- Harrington, WA R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Nicholville, NY R+35
- Elkwood, VA R+46
- High Bridge, NH R+12
- Terrill, KY R+54
- Whitt, TX R+82
- West Mecca, OH R+52
- Laclede, MO R+63
- Cheshire, NY D+7
- Bakersfield, MO R+71
- Rolla, KS R+85
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.