Lino Lakes, MN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Lino Lakes

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Lino Lakes leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.

 

About 96% of adults in Lino Lakes typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lino Lakes, ~43% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~4% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Lino Lakes compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Lino Lakes leans more Republican than 79 of 107 neighbors.

Lino Lakes runs about 13 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Lino Lakes is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lino Lakes. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+19) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Lino Lakes leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lino Lakes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Lino Lakes votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 50%, well above the Minnesota average of 23%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in Lino Lakes are family households, above 90% of cities. Lino Lakes runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout

Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Lino Lakes, MN does.

Why turnout in Lino Lakes looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lino Lakes is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Lino Lakes own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Lino Lakes have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.