Vadnais Heights leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Vadnais Heights typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vadnais Heights, ~53% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vadnais Heights compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vadnais Heights leans more Democratic than 65 of 105 neighbors.
Vadnais Heights runs about 16 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Why Vadnais Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vadnais Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 74% of residents in Vadnais Heights live in densely developed areas, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Vadnais Heights sits in the top quarter (about 44%, above 90% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 33% of adults in Vadnais Heights have never been married, above 82% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Vadnais Heights, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Vadnais Heights looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Vadnais Heights is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gem Lake, MN D+21
- Little Canada, MN D+35
- White Bear Lake, MN D+20
- North Oaks, MN D+22
- Shoreview, MN D+30
- Birchwood Village, MN D+27
- North St. Paul, MN D+18
- Roseville, MN D+40
- Arden Hills, MN D+31
- Maplewood, MN D+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Medway, MA D+16
- Oskaloosa, IA R+30
- Columbia, MS R+14
- Joppatowne, MD D+5
- Mexico, MO R+40
- Corona Del Mar, CA R+13
- Milton, DE R+9
- Pedley, CA R+4
- Damascus, MD D+18
- Woodruff, SC R+47
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.