North Oaks leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in North Oaks typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Oaks, ~66% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~-8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Oaks compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Oaks leans more Democratic than 70 of 106 neighbors.
North Oaks runs about 18 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within North Oaks. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+29) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+15), a spread of about 14 points.
Why North Oaks leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Oaks, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 73% of adults in North Oaks hold a bachelor's degree, about 44 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and North Oaks sits in the top fifth on density (about 53%, above 88% of cities).
Population density, never-married share, and Democratic lean
Places that combine high population density and a low never-married share tend to lean Democratic, as North Oaks, MN does.
Why turnout in North Oaks looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. North Oaks is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in North Oaks own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in North Oaks have completed high school, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Shoreview, MN D+30
- Vadnais Heights, MN D+20
- Gem Lake, MN D+21
- Lino Lakes, MN R+9
- White Bear Lake, MN D+20
- Circle Pines, MN Even
- Arden Hills, MN D+31
- Lexington, MN D+4
- Centerville, MN R+7
- Little Canada, MN D+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Omro, WI R+29
- Perkiomenville, PA R+19
- Hughesville, PA R+52
- Ball, LA R+67
- Attica, NY R+18
- Neshanic Station, NJ R+9
- Birch Run, MI R+34
- Everett, PA R+61
- Milaca, MN R+45
- New London, NC R+56
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.