Little Canada, MN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Little Canada

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Little Canada leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.

 

About 81% of adults in Little Canada typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Little Canada, ~55% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Little Canada compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Little Canada leans more Democratic than 92 of 108 neighbors.

Little Canada runs about 31 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Little Canada. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+47) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+29), a spread of about 18 points.

Why Little Canada leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Little Canada, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 88% of residents in Little Canada live in densely developed areas, about 52 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Little Canada sits in the top quarter (about 38%, above 86% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in Little Canada have never been married, above 93% of cities.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Little Canada, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Little Canada looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Little Canada is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.