Lonoke is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 37% of adults in Lonoke typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lonoke, ~19% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lonoke compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lonoke sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 9 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 21 leaning the other way.
Lonoke runs about 18 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Why Lonoke leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lonoke. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Lonoke, CA sits above the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Lonoke looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lonoke is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gilroy, CA D+17
- Rucker, CA R+5
- Old Gilroy, CA R+5
- San Martin, CA R+4
- Aromas, CA D+12
- Pajaro, CA D+18
- Morgan Hill, CA D+13
- Watsonville, CA D+36
- San Juan Bautista, CA D+23
- Freedom, CA D+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jolivue, VA R+34
- Curtis Station, MS D+46
- Sand Hill, WV R+56
- Niverville, NY R+5
- River Falls, SC R+43
- Hallett, OK R+69
- North Bend, WI R+29
- Dickensonville, VA R+73
- Uledi, PA R+34
- Powersite, MO R+63
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.