Los Olivos leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Los Olivos typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Los Olivos, ~41% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Los Olivos compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Los Olivos leans more Democratic than 12 of 15 neighbors.
Los Olivos runs about 6 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Los Olivos. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+19) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+4), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Los Olivos leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Los Olivos, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 57% of adults in Los Olivos hold a bachelor's degree, about 29 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Los Olivos sits in the top fifth on density (about 47%, above 86% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Los Olivos, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Los Olivos looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Los Olivos is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Los Olivos have completed high school, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Santa Ynez, CA D+6
- Solvang, CA D+13
- Buellton, CA Even
- Los Alamos, CA R+5
- Las Cruces, CA R+11
- Sisquoc, CA R+26
- Garey, CA R+30
- Ellwood, CA D+37
- Lompoc, CA D+10
- Surf, CA R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Carsonville, MI R+51
- Oakland, TX R+75
- Stahlstown, PA R+49
- McClure, OH R+57
- Riverton, KS R+63
- Toddville, IA R+28
- Doe Run, MO R+62
- Springboro, PA R+55
- Segno, TX R+59
- Wauzeka, WI R+38
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.