Buellton is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Buellton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buellton, ~36% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Buellton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Buellton sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 10 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 7 leaning the other way.
Buellton runs about 21 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Buellton sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Buellton. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+15), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Buellton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Buellton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Buellton votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Buellton runs about 21 points more Republican.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Buellton, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Buellton looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Buellton is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Solvang, CA D+13
- Los Olivos, CA D+14
- Santa Ynez, CA D+6
- Las Cruces, CA R+11
- Los Alamos, CA R+5
- Surf, CA R+15
- Lompoc, CA D+10
- Vandenberg Village, CA R+4
- Garey, CA R+30
- Sisquoc, CA R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Caruthersville, MO R+21
- Big Park, AZ D+17
- Tavernier, FL R+32
- Grant, AL R+75
- Union City, PA R+38
- Leslie, MI R+33
- Freeland, PA R+30
- Pipe Creek, TX R+61
- Jackson, LA R+34
- Paradise, TX R+77
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.