Fernley leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Fernley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fernley, ~23% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fernley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fernley leans more Republican than 2 of 6 neighbors.
Fernley runs about 37 points more Republican than Nevada as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fernley. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+61) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Fernley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fernley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Fernley votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 67%, well above the Nevada average of 44%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Fernley, NV sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Fernley looks the way it does
Turnout in Fernley sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wadsworth, NV D+13
- Hazen, NV R+60
- Silver Springs, NV R+49
- Nixon, NV D+31
- Stagecoach, NV R+47
- Fallon, NV R+43
- Spanish Springs, NV R+34
- Sparks, NV Even
- Sutcliffe, NV R+18
- Dayton, NV R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jesup, GA R+44
- Panama City Beach, FL R+36
- Washington, NC R+9
- Roxboro, NC R+11
- Machesney Park, IL R+14
- Portsmouth, OH R+30
- Huntington, IN R+41
- Chowchilla, CA R+26
- Elko, NV R+42
- Lynden, WA R+26
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.