Manchester is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Manchester typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manchester, ~10% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manchester compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Manchester leans more Republican than 12 of 104 neighbors.
Manchester runs about 38 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Manchester. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+78) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+65), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Manchester leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Manchester. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Manchester, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Manchester looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Manchester is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 9 points below the Kentucky average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 74% of adults in Manchester have completed high school, below 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fall Rock, KY R+78
- Sidell, KY R+76
- Garrard, KY R+64
- Urban, KY R+79
- Spurlock, KY R+75
- Bluehole, KY R+80
- Burning Springs, KY R+78
- Hector, KY R+78
- Lincoln, KY R+80
- Portersburg, KY R+79
Cities with Similar Populations
- Floyds Knobs, IN R+32
- Buzzards Bay, MA D+6
- Wauchula, FL R+41
- Whitestown, IN R+9
- Kingsgate, WA D+40
- Osceola, IN R+27
- Boyds, MD D+40
- California, MD R+3
- Greenbrier, TN R+54
- Waddell, AZ R+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.