Garrard is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Garrard typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Garrard, ~10% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Garrard compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Garrard leans more Republican than 6 of 109 neighbors.
Garrard runs about 33 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Garrard. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+77) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+60), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Garrard leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Garrard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Garrard votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 22%, about 15 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Garrard, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Garrard looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Garrard is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 13 points below the Kentucky average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 45% of households in Garrard rent, compared to around 23% in nearby cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 64% of adults in Garrard have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bluehole, KY R+80
- Manchester, KY R+69
- Spurlock, KY R+75
- Lincoln, KY R+80
- Fall Rock, KY R+78
- Urban, KY R+79
- Sidell, KY R+76
- Hector, KY R+78
- Big Creek, KY R+81
- Ogle, KY R+78
Cities with Similar Populations
- Danciger, TX R+57
- Timberon, NM R+83
- Seneca, NE R+79
- Lynchburg, MO R+73
- Cooper Heights, GA R+57
- Morgan City, AL R+72
- Falmouth, IL R+64
- Bailey Island, ME D+37
- St. Benedict, KS R+70
- Harmony Grove, TN R+69
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.