Manhattan Beach is a Republican stronghold. About 25% of voters here vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Manhattan Beach typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manhattan Beach, ~16% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manhattan Beach compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Manhattan Beach is the most Republican-leaning.
Manhattan Beach runs about 63 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Manhattan Beach is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Manhattan Beach. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+31), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Manhattan Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manhattan Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Manhattan Beach votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Manhattan Beach runs about 63 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Manhattan Beach are family households, above 82% of neighborhoods.
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with heavy housing overcrowding tend to turn out at a lower rate; Manhattan Beach, Brooklyn, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Manhattan Beach looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 12% of homes in Manhattan Beach have more than one occupant per room, above 94% of neighborhoods. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Manhattan Beach sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Brighton Beach, Brooklyn, NY R+40
- Sheepshead Bay, Brooklyn, NY R+33
- Gravesend-Sheepshead Bay, Brooklyn, NY R+29
- Coney Island, Brooklyn, NY R+18
- Breezy Point, Queens, NY R+36
- Bergen Beach, Brooklyn, NY R+24
- Mapleton-Flatlands, Brooklyn, NY D+4
- Bensonhurst, Brooklyn, NY R+22
- Paerdegat, Brooklyn, NY D+78
- Ditmas Park, Brooklyn, NY D+69
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Historic West-Side, Springfield, IL D+39
- Downtown Carlsbad, Carlsbad, CA D+24
- Wendover-Sedgewood, Charlotte, NC D+16
- Harper's Landing, Conroe, TX R+28
- Crossley Crossing, Round Rock, TX Even
- Lake Forest, Lake Oswego, OR D+42
- East Boulder, Boulder, CO D+61
- Beechwood, Parkersburg, WV R+25
- Carver-Richmond, Richmond, VA D+70
- Newmarket South, Newport News, VA D+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.