Manzano leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Manzano typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manzano, ~26% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manzano compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Manzano leans more Republican than 15 of 21 neighbors.
Manzano runs about 38 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Manzano is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Manzano leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manzano, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Manzano votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Manzano runs about 38 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Manzano sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 84% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Manzano, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Manzano looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Manzano is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Punta de Agua, NM R+33
- Torreon, NM R+31
- Mountainair, NM R+33
- Meadow Lake, NM R+6
- Estancia, NM R+35
- Willard, NM R+49
- El Cerro, NM R+20
- Escabosa, NM R+8
- Casa Colorada, NM R+25
- Valencia, NM R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zion, LA R+90
- Walkerville, AR R+45
- Leslie, KY R+71
- Cedars, MS D+36
- Welty, CO R+39
- Sturges Corner, NY R+25
- Las Tusas, NM D+17
- East Freetown, NY R+48
- Moriah, NC R+44
- Brooklyn, KY R+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.