Punta de Agua leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Punta de Agua typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Punta de Agua, ~19% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Punta de Agua compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Punta de Agua leans more Republican than 5 of 10 neighbors.
Punta de Agua runs about 39 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Punta de Agua is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Punta de Agua leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Punta de Agua, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Punta de Agua votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Punta de Agua runs about 39 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Punta de Agua, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Punta de Agua looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Punta de Agua is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in Punta de Agua report food insecurity, above 85% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in Punta de Agua have completed high school, below 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mountainair, NM R+33
- Manzano, NM R+32
- Torreon, NM R+31
- Willard, NM R+49
- Estancia, NM R+35
- Meadow Lake, NM R+6
- Cedarvale, NM R+49
- Casa Colorada, NM R+25
- Mc Intosh, NM R+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lawrenceville, KY R+67
- Trent Mill, VA R+18
- Lindsay, VA Even
- Crown Point Center, NY R+37
- Gradyville, KY R+56
- Calumet, MN R+27
- Lookout, WV R+60
- Loomis, NY R+15
- Chandler Heights, AZ R+20
- Oak Hall, VA R+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.