Mariposa leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Mariposa typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mariposa, ~35% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mariposa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mariposa leans more Republican than 7 of 24 neighbors.
Mariposa runs about 29 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Mariposa is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mariposa. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+24), a spread of about 37 points.
Why Mariposa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mariposa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mariposa votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Mariposa runs about 29 points more Republican.
Uninsured rate and voter turnout
Places with a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Mariposa, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Insurance coverage does not directly drive turnout; it reflects the income and stability that line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Mariposa looks the way it does
Turnout in Mariposa sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mormon Bar, CA R+23
- Darrah, CA R+19
- Midpines, CA D+7
- Mount Bullion, CA R+14
- Catheys Valley, CA R+29
- Nipinnawasee, CA R+25
- Fish Camp, CA R+6
- Ahwahnee, CA R+30
- Incline, CA R+19
- El Portal, CA D+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pryor Creek, OK R+51
- Glendale, CO D+43
- Warsaw, NC D+8
- Lexington, OK R+44
- Fort Richardson, AK R+14
- Paoli, IN R+48
- Homeacre-Lyndora, PA R+22
- Nashville, IN R+38
- Seven Valleys, PA R+36
- South Oroville, CA R+13
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.