Catheys Valley leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Catheys Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Catheys Valley, ~25% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Catheys Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Catheys Valley leans more Republican than 17 of 29 neighbors.
Catheys Valley runs about 50 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Catheys Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Catheys Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Catheys Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Catheys Valley votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Catheys Valley runs about 50 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Catheys Valley sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 94% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Catheys Valley are family households, above 92% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Catheys Valley, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Catheys Valley looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Catheys Valley own their home, about 28 points above the California average of 62%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mount Bullion, CA R+14
- Mormon Bar, CA R+23
- Mariposa, CA R+9
- Hornitos, CA R+5
- Midpines, CA D+7
- Darrah, CA R+19
- Calpack, CA R+32
- Planada, CA D+10
- Merced Falls, CA R+41
- Le Grand, CA R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lidgerwood, ND R+45
- Tillatoba, MS R+44
- Norwood, CO R+38
- Cooperstown, ND R+51
- Ashkum, IL R+58
- Central City, IL R+48
- Oak Grove Heights, AR R+66
- Joppa, MI R+38
- Perrysburg, NY R+26
- Correctionville, IA R+58
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.