Warsaw leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Warsaw typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warsaw, ~37% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warsaw compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warsaw is the most Democratic-leaning.
Warsaw runs about 11 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warsaw. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+21) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+5), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Warsaw leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warsaw, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Warsaw is about 29%, about 44 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 31% of adults in Warsaw have never been married, above 79% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Warsaw, NC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Warsaw looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Warsaw is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Carroll, NC R+3
- Bowdens, NC D+4
- Turkey, NC R+12
- Friendship, NC R+45
- Kenansville, NC R+14
- Magnolia, NC R+11
- Faison, NC R+16
- Poplar Grove, NC R+16
- Mount Olive, NC R+17
- Waycross, NC R+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lexington, OK R+44
- Mariposa, CA R+9
- Glendale, CO D+43
- Pryor Creek, OK R+51
- Fort Richardson, AK R+14
- Paoli, IN R+48
- South Oroville, CA R+13
- La Verkin, UT R+63
- Homeacre-Lyndora, PA R+22
- Nevada, TX R+55
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.