Midco leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Midco typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midco, ~24% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midco compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Midco leans more Republican than 17 of 21 neighbors.
Midco runs about 40 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Midco is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Midco. The north side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+38), a spread of about 39 points.
Why Midco leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midco, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Midco votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Midco runs about 40 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Midco are family households, above 83% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Midco, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Midco looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Midco is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Santa Maria, CA D+10
- Orcutt, CA R+8
- Nipomo, CA R+10
- Huasna, CA R+22
- Garey, CA R+30
- Sisquoc, CA R+26
- Guadalupe, CA D+15
- Los Berros, CA R+19
- Casmalia, CA D+4
- Arroyo Grande, CA D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hillville, PA R+64
- Mayflower, LA R+46
- Looneyville, TX R+72
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.