Middlebrook is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Middlebrook typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Middlebrook, ~9% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Middlebrook compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Middlebrook leans more Republican than 25 of 51 neighbors.
Middlebrook runs about 39 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Middlebrook leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Middlebrook, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Middlebrook, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the U.S. average of 28%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Middlebrook sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 85% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Middlebrook, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Middlebrook looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 78% of adults in Middlebrook have completed high school, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Middlebrook sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Maynard, AR R+70
- Poynor, MO R+74
- Warm Springs, AR R+72
- Ingram, AR R+71
- Pratt, MO R+74
- Tucker, MO R+74
- Current View, MO R+74
- Gatewood, MO R+73
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adams Basin, NY R+23
- Honey Hill, NC R+23
- Honora, GA R+51
- Stoneham, PA R+54
- Limestone, FL R+68
- Carvers, NC D+31
- Sherack, MN R+52
- Ivanhoe, GA R+62
- Stephensburg, KY R+64
- Catuna, LA R+52
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.