Mint Hill is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Mint Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mint Hill, ~11% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mint Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mint Hill leans more Republican than 53 of 62 neighbors.
Mint Hill runs about 52 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Mint Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mint Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Mint Hill sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 11 points above the Missouri average of 87%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Mint Hill, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Mint Hill looks the way it does
Turnout in Mint Hill sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hope, MO R+70
- Mount Sterling, MO R+69
- Luystown, MO R+70
- Linn, MO R+66
- Freedom, MO R+70
- Judge, MO R+70
- Cooper Hill, MO R+70
- Pershing, MO R+61
- Chamois, MO R+70
- Frankenstein, MO R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Separ, NM R+48
- East Martinsburg, NY R+37
- Snicarte, IL R+55
- Rio Chiquito, NM D+29
- Cedarvale, NM R+49
- Suedburg, PA R+60
- Casa Loma, CA R+37
- Utting, AZ R+55
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.