Montario Point leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Montario Point typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Montario Point, ~24% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Montario Point compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Montario Point leans more Republican than 47 of 68 neighbors.
Montario Point runs about 56 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Montario Point is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Montario Point leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Montario Point, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 93% of residents in Montario Point drive to work alone, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Montario Point are family households, above 81% of cities. Montario Point runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Montario Point, NY sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Montario Point looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Montario Point is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%, above 55% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ellisburg, NY R+44
- Mannsville, NY R+43
- Sandy Creek, NY R+31
- Woodville, NY R+46
- Pierrepont Manor, NY R+44
- Belleville, NY R+39
- Lacona, NY R+36
- Port Ontario, NY R+35
- Taylor Settlement, NY R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sicily, IL R+57
- St. Leo, KS R+69
- Palatka, AR R+53
- Warren, NY R+39
- Thayer, IN R+57
- Terra, UT R+63
- Fishers Landing, AZ R+46
- Wade, MS R+87
- Overland, NE R+68
- Warsaw, ND R+64
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.