Morgan County leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Morgan County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Morgan County, ~19% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Morgan County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Morgan County leans more Republican than 1 of 12 neighbors.
Morgan County runs about 13 points more Republican than Alabama as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Morgan County. The southwest side is the most split-leaning (R+81) and the northwest side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 81 points.
Why Morgan County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Morgan County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Morgan County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 50%, far above the Alabama average of 19%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Morgan County, AL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Morgan County looks the way it does
Turnout in Morgan County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Lawrence County, AL R+63
- Limestone County, AL R+45
- Madison County, AL R+5
- Cullman County, AL R+76
- Winston County, AL R+82
- Marshall County, AL R+64
- Blount County, AL R+79
- Colbert County, AL R+46
- Lauderdale County, AL R+47
- Lincoln County, TN R+64
Counties with Similar Populations
- Saline County, AR R+41
- Faulkner County, AR R+30
- Kennebec County, ME R+7
- Bonneville County, ID R+43
- Blair County, PA R+37
- Jasper County, MO R+40
- Gregg County, TX R+28
- Berkeley County, WV R+33
- Richland County, OH R+27
- San Juan County, NM R+26
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.