Morrisville leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Morrisville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Morrisville, ~49% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Morrisville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Morrisville leans more Democratic than 32 of 35 neighbors.
Morrisville runs about 40 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Morrisville is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Morrisville. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+61) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+23), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Morrisville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Morrisville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 73% of adults in Morrisville hold a bachelor's degree, about 45 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Morrisville sits in the top fifth on density (about 82%, above 95% of cities). Morrisville runs against the grain of North Carolina, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Morrisville, NC sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Morrisville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Morrisville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Morrisville have completed high school, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cary, NC D+27
- Apex, NC D+15
- Durham, NC D+59
- Raleigh, NC D+18
- Chapel Hill, NC D+43
- New Hill, NC D+4
- Holly Springs, NC D+7
- Gorman, NC D+17
- Carrboro, NC D+68
- Fearrington, NC R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Moline, IL D+16
- Bullhead City, AZ R+30
- Leominster, MA D+9
- Sun Prairie, WI D+37
- Burlington, VT D+65
- Gonzales, LA R+24
- Meadow Woods, FL D+12
- San Bruno, CA D+43
- West Bend, WI R+23
- Chatsworth, CA D+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.