Nanawale Estates, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Nanawale Estates

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Nanawale Estates leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.

 

About 42% of adults in Nanawale Estates typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nanawale Estates, ~26% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Nanawale Estates compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Nanawale Estates leans more Democratic than 9 of 17 neighbors.

Politically, Nanawale Estates sits close to the rest of Hawaii.

Why Nanawale Estates leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Nanawale Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 45% of adults in Nanawale Estates have never been married, well above similar-sized cities (around 25%).

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Nanawale Estates, HI sits above the national average on this measure.

Why turnout in Nanawale Estates looks the way it does

Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 34% of adults in Nanawale Estates report food insecurity, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 33% of households in Nanawale Estates rent, above 88% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Nanawale Estates sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.