Neola is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Neola typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Neola, ~11% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Neola compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Neola leans more Republican than 28 of 50 neighbors.
Neola runs about 52 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Neola leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Neola, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Neola, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Missouri average of 22%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Neola sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 85% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Neola are family households, above 79% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Neola, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Neola looks the way it does
Turnout in Neola sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Greenfield, MO R+62
- Corry, MO R+69
- Arcola, MO R+69
- South Greenfield, MO R+70
- Lockwood, MO R+62
- Sylvania, MO R+73
- Dadeville, MO R+68
- Umber View Heights, MO R+61
- Bona, MO R+69
- Jerico Springs, MO R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oak Shade Park, MI R+27
- Edwall, WA R+55
- Zachow, WI R+55
- Niles Valley, PA R+62
- Calvary, GA R+38
- Timblin, PA R+74
- Belle Valley, OH R+60
- Lakeport, MI R+36
- Sharon, KS R+77
- Freedom, OH R+50
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.