New Hampshire leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 80% of adults in New Hampshire typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Hampshire, ~42% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Hampshire compares
Among states within 500 miles, New Hampshire leans more Democratic than 2 of 10 neighbors.
Politics vary noticeably by county within New Hampshire. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+14) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 25 points.
Why New Hampshire leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per state to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Hampshire, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 41% of adults in New Hampshire hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; New Hampshire sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in New Hampshire looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. New Hampshire is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 74% of households in New Hampshire own their home, above 92% of states. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 94% of adults in New Hampshire have completed high school, above 94% of states. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby States
- Vermont D+13
- Massachusetts D+26
- Rhode Island D+17
- Maine Even
- New York D+16
- New Jersey D+11
- Delaware D+17
- Pennsylvania Even
- Maryland D+33
- District of Columbia D+80
States with Similar Populations
- Maine Even
- Hawaii D+18
- Rhode Island D+17
- Montana R+20
- Delaware D+17
- West Virginia R+41
- Idaho R+34
- South Dakota R+29
- Nebraska R+15
- North Dakota R+30
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.