New Melle leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 89% of adults in New Melle typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Melle, ~25% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Melle compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Melle leans more Republican than 41 of 86 neighbors.
New Melle runs about 26 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why New Melle leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Melle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 88% of households in New Melle are family households, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; New Melle, MO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in New Melle looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. New Melle is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in New Melle own their home, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in New Melle have completed high school, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Defiance, MO R+42
- Lake St. Louis, MO R+16
- Wentzville, MO R+24
- Matson, MO R+43
- Augusta, MO R+45
- Foristell, MO R+41
- Femme Osage, MO R+59
- Dardenne Prairie, MO R+17
- Flint Hill, MO R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Calhoun City, MS R+19
- Westville, FL R+79
- Rotonda West, FL R+40
- Hyden, KY R+72
- Plaucheville, LA R+81
- Bowersville, GA R+70
- Massanutten, VA R+20
- Carrollton, MS R+62
- Bermuda Run, NC R+22
- French Settlement, LA R+85
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.