Niagara University leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 28% of adults in Niagara University typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Niagara University, ~12% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~72% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Niagara University compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Niagara University leans more Republican than 23 of 45 neighbors.
Niagara University runs about 27 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Niagara University is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Niagara University leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Niagara University, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 7% of adults in Niagara University hold a bachelor's degree, about 27 points below the New York average of 34%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Niagara University runs against that pattern. Niagara University runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Niagara University, NY does.
Why turnout in Niagara University looks the way it does
Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Niagara University have completed high school, below 76% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lewiston, NY R+11
- Niagara Falls, NY D+10
- Stella Niagara, NY R+15
- Sandy Beach, NY R+10
- Youngstown, NY R+19
- Sanborn, NY R+28
- Grand Island, NY R+9
- Ransomville, NY R+33
- North Tonawanda, NY R+15
- Shawnee, NY R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Milan, NY D+19
- Drifton, FL D+7
- Rexville, WA D+9
- Thornburg, PA D+18
- Ocosta, WA R+30
- East Dickinson, NY R+43
- White Tower, KY R+44
- Hays, MS R+14
- Sirmans, FL R+62
- Landsford, SC R+53
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.