Isle of Palms leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Isle of Palms typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Isle of Palms, ~27% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Isle of Palms compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Isle of Palms is the most Republican-leaning.
Isle of Palms runs about 26 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Isle of Palms. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+31), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Isle of Palms leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Isle of Palms, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Isle of Palms sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 84% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the Florida average of 60%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Isle of Palms, Jacksonville Beach, FL does.
Why turnout in Isle of Palms looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Isle of Palms is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, about 6 points above the Florida average of 56%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Isle of Palms have completed high school, above 90% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Beach Haven, Jacksonville, FL R+16
- Golden Glades-The Woods, Jacksonville, FL R+17
- Sans Pareil, Jacksonville, FL R+3
- Girvin, Jacksonville, FL R+27
- Atlantic Beaches, Atlantic Beach, FL R+15
- Sandalwood, Jacksonville, FL R+6
- East Arlington, Jacksonville, FL R+14
- Deerwood, Jacksonville, FL R+8
- North Beach, Atlantic Beach, FL R+19
- Windy Hill, Jacksonville, FL D+2
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Kabrich Crescent, Blacksburg, VA D+37
- Essex, Chicago, IL D+82
- The Boulevards, Canton, OH D+21
- Spencer View Terrace, Deer Park, TX R+22
- Dover Heights, Toms River, NJ R+27
- Cody, Mobile, AL D+71
- Everroad Park, Columbus, IN R+22
- Bellalago, Kissimmee, FL D+9
- River Gardens, Sacramento, CA D+33
- Clifton Heights, St. Louis, MO D+36
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.