Northeast MacFarlane, Tampa, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Northeast MacFarlane

Northeast MacFarlane is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.

 
Northeast MacFarlane, Tampa, FL block-group political-lean map
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About 52% of adults in Northeast MacFarlane typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northeast MacFarlane, ~25% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Northeast MacFarlane, Tampa, FL block-group voter-turnout map
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How Northeast MacFarlane compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Northeast MacFarlane sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 22 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 7 leaning the other way.

Northeast MacFarlane runs about 12 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Northeast MacFarlane. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 14 points.

Why Northeast MacFarlane leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Northeast MacFarlane. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout

Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Northeast MacFarlane, Tampa, FL does.

Why turnout in Northeast MacFarlane looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Northeast MacFarlane is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 26%, about 11 points above the Florida average of 15%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.