Oakford Park leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Oakford Park typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oakford Park, ~38% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oakford Park compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Oakford Park leans more Democratic than 19 of 30 neighbors.
Oakford Park runs about 21 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Oakford Park is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Oakford Park. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+17) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+4), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Oakford Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oakford Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Oakford Park live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. Oakford Park runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Developed land and Democratic lean
Places with a heavily developed built environment tend to lean Democratic; Oakford Park, Tampa, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Oakford Park looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Oakford Park is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Courier City, Tampa, FL Even
- Northeast MacFarlane, Tampa, FL Even
- Old West Tampa, Tampa, FL D+39
- Carver City-Lincoln Gardens, Tampa, FL D+23
- North Hyde Park, Tampa, FL D+12
- Palma Ceia, Tampa, FL D+5
- Beach Park, Tampa, FL R+11
- Downtown Tampa, Tampa, FL D+17
- Riverside Heights, Tampa, FL D+21
- Virginia Park, Tampa, FL D+2
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- North East, Olympia, WA D+58
- Memorial Heights, San Antonio, TX D+35
- Indian Hill, Worcester, MA D+27
- North College, Abilene, TX R+14
- Chaffee Park, Denver, CO D+50
- North Riverdale, Dayton, OH D+61
- Lakeshore-Oakland, Oakland, CA D+85
- Friendly Hills, Dakota Ridge, CO D+8
- Moose Can Gully, Missoula, MT D+23
- Residence Park, Dayton, OH D+85
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.