Northwest Harborcreek leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 95% of adults in Northwest Harborcreek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northwest Harborcreek, ~45% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~5% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Northwest Harborcreek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Northwest Harborcreek leans more Republican than 3 of 50 neighbors.
Politically, Northwest Harborcreek sits close to the rest of Pennsylvania.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Northwest Harborcreek. The east side is the most split-leaning (R+13) and the west side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Northwest Harborcreek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Northwest Harborcreek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in Northwest Harborcreek drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Northwest Harborcreek, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Northwest Harborcreek looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Northwest Harborcreek is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Northwest Harborcreek have completed high school, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wesleyville, PA R+6
- Harborcreek, PA R+19
- Erie, PA D+15
- Moorheadville, PA R+19
- Hammett, PA R+36
- Hornby, PA R+44
- Kearsarge, PA Even
- Phillipsville, PA R+42
- North East, PA R+21
- Little Hope, PA R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Caseyville, IL R+8
- Breckenridge, CO D+24
- Milan, IL R+9
- Needville, TX R+50
- Halfway, MD R+24
- Montecito, CA D+40
- Island Lake, IL R+8
- Newport, AR R+38
- Piney Flats, TN R+55
- Kaplan, LA R+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.