Oak Forest leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Oak Forest typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Forest, ~25% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Forest compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oak Forest leans more Republican than 54 of 77 neighbors.
Oak Forest runs about 41 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Oak Forest is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oak Forest. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Oak Forest leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Forest, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oak Forest votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Oak Forest runs about 41 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Oak Forest sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 81% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Oak Forest are family households, above 79% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Oak Forest, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Oak Forest looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Oak Forest is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cumberland, VA R+21
- Trent Mill, VA R+18
- Lakeside Village, VA R+40
- Ballsville, VA R+52
- Sunny Side, VA R+25
- Trenholm, VA R+37
- Hatchers, VA R+43
- Cartersville, VA R+34
- Hillcrest, VA R+14
- Tamworth, VA R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Redland, OK R+65
- Roxbury, KS R+57
- Little Washington, OH R+50
- Lynn Center, IL R+36
- Morris, GA Even
- Salem, TX R+72
- Bluffton, TX R+68
- Brooksdale, NC R+24
- Newby, TX R+69
- Hamon, TX R+75
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.