Trenholm leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Trenholm typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Trenholm, ~27% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Trenholm compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Trenholm leans more Republican than 58 of 77 neighbors.
Trenholm runs about 43 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Trenholm is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Trenholm leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Trenholm, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Trenholm votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Trenholm runs about 43 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 85% of residents in Trenholm drive to work alone, above 82% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Trenholm, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Trenholm looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Trenholm is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hatchers, VA R+43
- Tamworth, VA R+39
- Lakeside Village, VA R+40
- Cartersville, VA R+34
- Provost, VA R+36
- Pemberton, VA R+34
- Ballsville, VA R+52
- Oak Forest, VA R+35
- Jefferson, VA R+32
- Michaux, VA R+25
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adamsville, TX R+72
- Fawil, TX R+66
- Amador City, CA R+29
- Rensselaer, MO R+62
- Boggs, WV R+72
- Sylvan, PA R+67
- Colza, PA R+53
- Clubview Heights, AL R+30
- Piney, AL R+72
- Copeland, GA R+56
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.