Orange County Great Park leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Orange County Great Park typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orange County Great Park, ~31% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Orange County Great Park compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Orange County Great Park leans more Democratic than 13 of 14 neighbors.
Politically, Orange County Great Park sits close to the rest of California.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Orange County Great Park. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+23) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+12), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Orange County Great Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orange County Great Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 71% of adults in Orange County Great Park hold a bachelor's degree, about 43 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density, never-married share, and Democratic lean
Places that combine high population density and a low never-married share tend to lean Democratic, as Orange County Great Park, Irvine, CA does.
Why turnout in Orange County Great Park looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 7% of homes in Orange County Great Park have more than one occupant per room, above 85% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- El Toro Marine Air Station, Irvine, CA D+18
- Portola Springs, Irvine, CA D+15
- Woodbury, Irvine, CA D+16
- Spectrum, Irvine, CA D+14
- Irvine Health and Science Complex, Irvine, CA D+23
- Northwood, Irvine, CA D+10
- Northwood Point, Irvine, CA D+8
- El Camino Real, Irvine, CA D+10
- Oak Creek, Irvine, CA D+12
- Quail Hill, Irvine, CA D+15
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Emma Dickinson Orchard Homes, Missoula, MT D+31
- Pleasant Valley, Walnut Creek, CA D+49
- South Albany, Albany, OR R+8
- Manton, Providence, RI D+27
- Hanscom Park, Omaha, NE D+24
- Golden Crest, Dunedin, FL R+4
- Eastfield, Dundalk, MD R+6
- Gresham-City Central, Gresham, OR D+35
- Woodmoor, Lochearn, MD D+86
- Aberdeen, Pueblo, CO D+13
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.