Mission Bend South leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 36% of adults in Mission Bend South typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mission Bend South, ~22% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~64% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mission Bend South compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Mission Bend South leans more Democratic than 1 of 3 neighbors.
Mission Bend South runs about 34 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Mission Bend South is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Mission Bend South leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mission Bend South, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Mission Bend South live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. Mission Bend South runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Mission Bend South, Mission Bend, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Mission Bend South looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mission Bend South is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 25%, about 6 points above the Texas average of 19%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Mission Bend South have completed high school, below 83% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Terra del Sol, Houston, TX D+40
- Eldridge-West Oaks, Houston, TX D+34
- Long Meadow Farms, Richmond, TX R+12
- Sugarland, Houston, TX D+22
- Nottingham, Katy, TX R+24
- West Houston, Houston, TX D+19
- Memorial Parkway, Katy, TX R+11
- Energy Corridor, Houston, TX D+21
- West Memorial, Katy, TX R+16
- Addicks-Park ten, Houston, TX D+16
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Livingston-McNaughten, Columbus, OH D+58
- Woodlawn Court, Hattiesburg, MS D+54
- Downtown Madison Heights, Madison Heights, MI D+8
- Orchard, Oxnard, CA D+31
- Menomonee River Hills East, Milwaukee, WI D+63
- Borchert Field, Milwaukee, WI D+88
- Downtown Belle Glade, Belle Glade, FL D+73
- North End, Phillipsburg, NJ D+6
- Palm Springs, Apache Junction, AZ R+23
- Suburban Acres, Norfolk, VA D+36
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.