Winter Park is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Winter Park typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Winter Park, ~37% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Winter Park compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Winter Park leans more Democratic than 39 of 61 neighbors.
Winter Park runs about 17 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Winter Park is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Winter Park. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+21) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 32 points.
Why Winter Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Winter Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Winter Park votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Winter Park runs about 17 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Winter Park, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Winter Park looks the way it does
Turnout in Winter Park sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Goldenrod, FL D+6
- Maitland, FL D+6
- Casselberry, FL R+4
- Eatonville, FL D+51
- Azalea Park, FL D+9
- Altamonte Springs, FL D+7
- Union Park, FL D+5
- Winter Springs, FL R+14
- Lockhart, FL D+14
- Orlando, FL D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Plainfield, NJ D+57
- Covington, LA R+39
- Texarkana, TX R+17
- Webster, NY D+4
- Peabody, MA D+4
- Montgomery, TX R+54
- North Highlands, CA D+7
- Carmichael, CA D+11
- Fuquay-Varina, NC R+4
- Oak Park, IL D+78
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.