North End leans heavily Democratic by roughly 44 points: about 72% of voters vote Democratic and 28% Republican.
About 57% of adults in North End typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North End, ~41% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North End compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, North End leans more Democratic than 2 of 14 neighbors.
North End runs about 41 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within North End. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+54) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+36), a spread of about 18 points.
Why North End leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North End, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 51% of adults in North End have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 43%).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; North End, St. Paul, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in North End looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 9% of homes in North End have more than one occupant per room, above 89% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and North End sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Thomas-Dale, St. Paul, MN D+53
- Como, St. Paul, MN D+61
- Payne Phallen, St. Paul, MN D+40
- Summit-University, St. Paul, MN D+72
- Downtown Minneapolis, St. Paul, MN D+64
- Midway, St. Paul, MN D+67
- Summit Hill, St. Paul, MN D+71
- Dayton's Bluff, St. Paul, MN D+46
- West 7th, St. Paul, MN D+59
- Merrlam Park, St. Paul, MN D+65
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- East Boston, Boston, MA D+38
- North Dorchester, Boston, MA D+59
- North Central, Philadelphia, PA D+83
- Kyle Canyon, Las Vegas, NV Even
- East Broad, Black Lick, OH D+33
- Valley Ranch, Irving, TX D+20
- Great Bridge, Chesapeake, VA R+11
- North Park San Diego, San Diego, CA D+62
- Constable Hook, Bayonne, NJ D+6
- Mountain's Edge, Las Vegas, NV Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.