Pelican Bay leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 94% of adults in Pelican Bay typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pelican Bay, ~36% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pelican Bay compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Pelican Bay leans more Republican than 2 of 4 neighbors.
Pelican Bay runs about 10 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Pelican Bay. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+28) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Pelican Bay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pelican Bay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Pelican Bay sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 92% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 32 points above the Florida average of 60%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Pelican Bay, Naples, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Pelican Bay looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Pelican Bay is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Pelican Bay own their home, compared to around 76% in nearby neighborhoods. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Pelican Bay have completed high school, above 90% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Park Shore, Naples, FL R+25
- Pelican Marsh, Naples, FL R+21
- Moorings-Coquina Sands, Naples, FL R+21
- Vineyards, Naples, FL R+26
- Old Naples, Naples, FL R+14
- Summit Place in Naples, Naples, FL R+17
- Berkshire Lakes, Naples, FL R+15
- Wentworth Estates, Naples, FL R+16
- Lely Resort, Naples, FL R+15
- Orangetree, Naples, FL R+28
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Century City, Los Angeles, CA D+42
- Lower South Providence, Providence, RI D+39
- Delta, Everett, WA D+16
- East Gloucester, Gloucester, MA D+16
- Bird Land, San Diego, CA D+32
- Central Street Merchant District, Evanston, IL D+77
- Columbia Forest, Arlington, VA D+51
- Shaw, St. Louis, MO D+75
- Southwest Area, Cedar Rapids, IA D+21
- Royal Highlands, Brooksville, FL R+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.