Pelican leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Pelican typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pelican, ~26% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pelican compares
Pelican runs about 18 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Pelican. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+37) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Pelican leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Pelican. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Pelican, Cape Coral, FL sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Pelican looks the way it does
Turnout in Pelican sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Mariner, Cape Coral, FL R+31
- Fort Myers Villas, Villas, FL R+17
- Winkler Safe Neighborhood, Fort Myers, FL D+18
- Tice, Fort Myers, FL D+10
- Arborwood, Fort Myers, FL R+23
- Sunshine, Lehigh Acres, FL D+6
- Harris, Lehigh Acres, FL R+8
- Richmond, Lehigh Acres, FL R+11
- Pelican Marsh, Naples, FL R+21
- Pelican Bay, Naples, FL R+23
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Northeast, Reno, NV D+16
- Summerlin North, Las Vegas, NV D+5
- Forest Park, Springfield, MA D+37
- South Beach, Staten Island, NY R+33
- Wynwood, Miami, FL D+12
- Ala Moana-Kakaako, Honolulu, HI D+31
- Clearview, Queens, NY Even
- Garfield Ridge, Chicago, IL Even
- Westgate, Henderson, NV D+6
- Northeast, Columbus, OH D+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.