Sunshine leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Sunshine typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sunshine, ~25% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sunshine compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Sunshine is the most Democratic-leaning.
Sunshine runs about 19 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Sunshine is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Sunshine. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+23) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+3), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Sunshine leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sunshine, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Sunshine is about 13%, about 59 points below the U.S. average of 72%. Sunshine runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Sunshine, Lehigh Acres, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Sunshine looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Sunshine is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 8 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 71% of adults in Sunshine have completed high school, below 94% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Richmond, Lehigh Acres, FL R+11
- Harris, Lehigh Acres, FL R+8
- Arborwood, Fort Myers, FL R+23
- Tice, Fort Myers, FL D+10
- Winkler Safe Neighborhood, Fort Myers, FL D+18
- Fort Myers Villas, Villas, FL R+17
- Pelican, Cape Coral, FL R+31
- Mariner, Cape Coral, FL R+31
- Orangetree, Naples, FL R+28
- Summit Place in Naples, Naples, FL R+17
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Stone Meadows, Bakersfield, CA R+4
- Tobin Hill, San Antonio, TX D+40
- St. Johns, Portland, OR D+48
- Tosa East Towne, Wauwatosa, WI D+52
- Muncie-Stony PT., Kansas City, KS Even
- Downtown Boone, Boone, NC D+44
- Woodridge Lakes, Mesa, AZ R+12
- Coral Ridge, Fort Lauderdale, FL R+14
- Belle Valley, Erie, PA R+4
- Globe, Woonsocket, RI D+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.